Follow Win Vector LLC's news and updates in a matter of seconds! We will deliver any update via email, phone or you can read them from here on the site on your own news page.
You can even combine different feeds with the feed for Win Vector LLC.
Subscribing and unsubscribing is fast, easy and risk free.
The whole service is free of cost.
Win Vector LLC: Win Vector LLC – Data science advising, consulting, and training
Is this your feed? Claim it!
As of now (late 2026) LLM (large language model) technology providers, users, and work products flood the public commons. It therefore makes sense to have even a primitive mechanistic mental model of these technologies. You are forced to have an op...
Here is a betting/investment puzzle to help introduce some tools for reasoning about risk.
You are offered a bet or risky investment that returns or pays-off X dollars for every dollar laid in, where X is a random variable distributed log-normally
A lot of financial thinking and intuition attempts to phrase decisions and choices in terms of claimed returns or in terms of expected values. For example:
An ultra greedy gambler may pick the highest claimed winning payoff, independent of win or success probabilities. A greedy gambler may pick the highest expected value, independent of variance. The famousCurrent (mid-2026) LLMs are quite powerful. However, (prior to addition of agent harnesses and loops) LLMs vendors don’t claim to include an effective scratch workspace. Current LLM designs, to the extent we know what they are, remain extensions of the attention/transformer design proba...