WeatherNJ.com

Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates mostly a zonal flow across the US but favoring some ridge peaks here and there. These ridge peaks will allow 500mb heights to build over the E US and furthermore warmer air to be brought northwards into the NJ area and produce a warm Saturday through at least Wednesday. We’re then looking at a frontal rain/thunderstorm sys...

Discussion: Sorry I missed getting this outlook out yesterday. Got pulled in a few different directions. But here we are. These current conditions are something! Late October/early November feel with early August sun angle. We only have a few more days of this before we hop into a prolonged period of warmer temperatures starting this weekend. The flip was ide...

Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates the W US split flow pattern into the E US will remain in-tact for now. This concentrated flow from the N Plains and TX into the Mid-Atlantic US will continue to shape a Great Lakes trough pattern for the foreseeable future. Given that the troughs have been extremely positively tilted, NJ has been stuck under the W/SW flow ...

Discussion: Right now, we have lower heights breaking down over coastal New England and the Mid-Atlantic US. A very positive-axis trough will situate to the NW of us and hold an upper-level SW flow over NJ through about Thursday. Today through Wednesday morning are drier periods where the surface will likely reach a high of 70 for many NJ areas. By Wednesday ...

Discussion: A series of flat troughs will dominate the NE US pattern with below-average temperatures through at least mid-May. However, there will be some warm, even hot, days checkered here and there in 2-3 day clusters…mainly from being in front of the trough under SW or S/SW flow aloft. So this weekend looks cool, next week looks warm, next weekend looks c...