WeatherNJ.com

Discussion: The forecast for this Memorial Day Weekend is not great. I held off as long as possible making this forecast, hoping for change. But there has been no change. We’re in for a cloudy, rainy, windy weekend from at least Friday afternoon through at least Sunday afternoon. It’s then very likely that rain will take it’s time ending between Sunday aftern...

Discussion: The upper jet will remain well N of NJ through at least Wednesday morning. This will allow upper level heights to continue ridging for the E US, especially the Mid-Atlantic US/NJ. At the surface this means well above average temperatures (in the 90s, possibly 100), an introduction of summer-like humidity, but mostly under blue skies. On Wednesday ...

Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates mostly a zonal flow across the US but favoring some ridge peaks here and there. These ridge peaks will allow 500mb heights to build over the E US and furthermore warmer air to be brought northwards into the NJ area and produce a warm Saturday through at least Wednesday. We’re then looking at a frontal rain/thunderstorm sys...

Discussion: Sorry I missed getting this outlook out yesterday. Got pulled in a few different directions. But here we are. These current conditions are something! Late October/early November feel with early August sun angle. We only have a few more days of this before we hop into a prolonged period of warmer temperatures starting this weekend. The flip was ide...

Discussion: 250mb analysis indicates the W US split flow pattern into the E US will remain in-tact for now. This concentrated flow from the N Plains and TX into the Mid-Atlantic US will continue to shape a Great Lakes trough pattern for the foreseeable future. Given that the troughs have been extremely positively tilted, NJ has been stuck under the W/SW flow ...