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Discussion: This week should feature some of the most beautiful October NJ conditions we’ve seen in a while. We’re talking chilly-but-comfortable highs in the 60s, lots of sunshine, and colder overnights where at least the usual colder spots (NNJ elevations and SNJ Pine Barrens) flirt with dropping to freezing temperatures. There’s not much else to say about ...

Discussion: A warm sector will bring more anomalous warmth to NJ on Friday with stiff SW winds. This should set up a storm front in the evening but a very short one. The precipitation strip looks very thin on model guidance. However, it could pack a punch. I think most of NJ is on the hook for a brief period of gusty rainfall and rumbles. At a more isolated/l...

Discussion: This crap (80 degrees with humidity) was supposed to be over for the year. But Isaias decided to form and hurl a bunch of warmth and humidity at NJ as a ridge develops. This is going to result in some whacky temperature swings between now and this weekend. It looks like we’re going to start the buildup Tuesday and flex the warmest and most humid o...

Discussion: Isaias made landfall in far W FL Panhandle this evening as a category 2 hurricane. The trend is a quick fall apart. It’s already down to a cat 1 with more weakening expected into Saturday morning. Isaias will now track NW towards N Louisiana, hit a ridge and exit stage right towards NJ. So, the remnant low will pass over or near NJ Sunday. It will...

Discussion: A rather zonal look to the upper levels this week with a general W/NW flow of colder air aloft from Canada. Most surface conditions will revolve around high pressure moving across the E US/Mid-Atlantic US from W to E. We’re coldest in front of the high (Today-Tues) AM), beautiful underneath the high (Wed-Thurs) and then we moderate milder behind t...