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Discussion: The stormy humid “ring of fire” pattern is coming to an end after one more night of storms (tonight – Friday night). I will be tracking with radar observation posts. The cold front should push through from N to S during early Saturday AM hours which will make for a more comfortable Saturday and an extremely comfortable Sunday. These conditions sho...

Discussion: This week into Labor Day Weekend looks interesting to me. It could be our most storm-potent Ring of Fire pattern this entire year. And for that reason, we are in daily article mode rather than the traditional weekly outlook. Let’s review a little:

A Ring of Fire pattern is when a ridge sets up to the W of NJ (over the Central US/S of the...

Discussion: The models handled the last two days rather well. Specifically in the idea of all of NJ except for SENJ seeing the stronger storms Thursday and then only SENJ seeing some storms today. The storms have cleared the coast and we will now improve through tonight. The frontal boundary is moving through very slowly so relief (lower temps and lower humid...

Discussion: Two short waves in SE Canada will phase into a more potent upper low between today (Wednesday) and Saturday. This will put NJ in the very unsettled SE side of everything especially on Thursday and Friday. As of right now it looks like Thursday will have the better storm dynamics of the two days. And it looks like Thursday will have the best dynami...

Discussion: It’s hard to argue against a great feel outside today (Monday) and that should last through tomorrow (Tuesday). A low has tracked through SE Canada and dragged a cold front through NJ, ushering in a cooler/drier air mass. It’s not fall cold yet. But it’s certainly beautiful late-summer conditions. The upper-jet will relax into more of a zonal flow...