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Message frequency:  3.98 / week

Message History

Discussion: My previous live observation real covered the remainder of the Saturday morning wave. This article will now cover the Sunday-Monday coastal snowstorm. It’s still not a KABOOM, but it certainly is a coastal snowstorm capable of delivering a significant/plowable outcome for much of New Jersey. This morning and tomorrow are the fruition of the early-...


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Discussion: The “two snow systems in one weekend” idea has gained legs. For the first time all week, we have a slightly increased confidence in how the weekend will play out. The model data has converged towards the following solution.

An Arctic cold front will push through the Mid-Atlantic US between late tonight (Friday) and mid-to-late tomorrow m...


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Discussion: There are two snow chances for snow this weekend, Saturday and Sunday and they are connected. Neither event is currently looking like a major snowstorm. These two snow possibilities are going to be the last salvageable snow from the general Jan 15-20 period that we’ve been watching closely due to deep troughs and powerful upper-level dynamics well...


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Discussion: As expected, we saw some wild hits and misses on the models this past weekend. The models, however, failed to converge on a favorable solution, for Thursday-Friday Jan 15-16 like what the GFS had Friday and what the Euro moved to Friday night/Saturday morning. I was waiting until today to see if the GFS, Canadian and Euro were all going to be in t...


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Discussion: Back to article mode to address the approaching rain and longer-range wintry signals.

Right now (Friday 1/9 3:00pm) most of NJ is cloud with temperatures ranging from about 45-55 NNJ to SNJ. It feels a lot warmer than that after the generally colder 5-6 week period we had from Thanksgiving Weekend through this past weekend. Funny how tha...


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