Bayesian reasoning is already used explicitly in some historical sciences such as phylogeny (Felsenstein 2004, 288–306), archaeology (Buck et al. 1996), cosmology (Hobson 2010), and historical linguistics (Greenhill et al. 2020) to justify inferences of probable knowledge of history. In the historiography of the human past, Richard Carrier (2012, 2014) attempted to apply Baye...

Here is another snippet from my studies research that also has a place here . . . .Ian Mills has a newly published book, The Hypothesis of the Gospels: Narrative Traditions in Hellenistic Reading Culture, that explains one important facet of the literary culture in which the gospels were written. It is a distillation from …

We are familiar enough with the claims that the mention of the sons of Simon of Cyrene who carried the cross of Jesus indicates that they were real people: the first audience of the Gospel of Mark must have known them personally because there is no other mention of them in the other gospels. Well, …

Two weeks ago I posted How Israel Compelled the US to Attack Iran — according to the Hebrew Press in Israel but I have since been reminded of a 2009 Brookings Institute policy paper, Which Path to Persia? Options for a New American Strategy Toward Iran, that discussed the pros and cons of that narrative …

So Richard has stooped to changing his post in the light of my critique and I am unable to leave a reply to him on his blogsite. (He points out that he made a change to respond to me but only at the very end of a long comment trail.) Carrier initially wrote: Vridar’s critiques …