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Weak property rights and lax enforcement fuel tropical forest fires
Indonesian firms burn more forest land when the fire spread risk falls on unclaimed land. Clearer property rights and credible penalties could cut fires by half.

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Critical minerals scramble: Turning a windfall into development
The global scramble for critical minerals offers resource-rich economies a large but possibly short-lived windfall – one that well-designed contracts, royalties and industrial policy can turn into lasting development rather than another resource curse.

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How to fund social insurance without pushing workers into informality
Stronger collection of social insurance contributions in China reduced formal firm entry and shifted workers towards informal jobs.

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Can we detect when a country's institutions are about to change?
Using AI to analyse 120 years of newspaper coverage produces a new index of uncertainty about a country's core institutions, and in the countries studied, nearly every major shift in democracy happened when this index was high. Because it detects slow-building uncertainty that other risk measures miss, the index could serve as an early warning of institutional fragility.

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Ocean acidification is raising newborn deaths in coastal communities
Rising ocean acidity cuts small-scale fish catches, pushes up seafood prices and worsens women's nutrition, increasing neonatal mortality in coastal communities of low- and middle-income countries by around 5% for each 0.01-unit fall in pH. Cutting emissions, limiting industrial fishing in vulnerable coastal waters, and targeting nutritional support at pregnant women in seafood-...

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