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Title of Virginia Storm Chasing: "Virginia Storm Chasing | Yes, there are severe storms in the Old Dominion!"
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Well, this isn’t encouraging for the beginning of the 2026 #severeweather season here in Virginia:
The GEFS looks only slightly better:
Rain – and storms – shut off abruptly after August 1st last year, and 2026 hasn’t improved any with regard to the drought situation:
Not only does this put a damper on storm chase prospects, but the g...
Today’s Storm Prediction Center’s morning outlook was updated to include a Slight Risk and an expanded Marginal Risk.
Despite the increase in outlook category I was wary of charging out the door to catch up with model-simulated storms that might fizzle while I watched. But sitting on the back porch after lunch I heard thunder, and the radar showed a couple of ne...
The SPC has a Marginal Risk bisecting Virginia roughly along and north of U.S. Route 460 tomorrow:
This outlook is driven by small chances of severe wind and hail. Neither instability nor shear look impressive as the region is on the very southern edge of a short wave which will cross the Great Lakes area.
Several CAMs indicate convection along and eas...