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The next UK general election must happen by August 15, 2029 – that’s the legal deadline under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022. But “must happen by” and “will happen then” are very different things in British politics in 2026. The Greens just won a Westminster by-election in a Labour se...
One UK punter backed Donald Trump to win the US presidency at 150/1 – three days after Trump entered the Republican race in June 2015. If they staked £100, they walked away with £15,000. Brexit paid out at 3/1 on the day of the referendum, when the entire market was pricing a 76% chance of Remain winning. ...
Most UK bettors start with football. They learn the odds format, figure out which bookmakers offer the best lines, and spend years trying to find an edge against markets that are priced by teams of analysts with access to data most punters never see. Political betting works differently. The market...
Nine weeks from now, 4,851 council seats across 134 English councils go to the vote. Reform UK are 3/10 favourites to win the most seats nationally. Labour sit at 5/1. The Conservatives are 6/1. Those prices reflect something significant: a betting market that believes the May 7 local elections will deliver...
Kemi Badenoch has been Conservative leader for less than 18 months. She won the job in November 2024 after a bruising contest, beat Robert Jenrick in the final round, and inherited a party that had just lost 250 seats at the general election. By February 2026, bookmakers had her at 8/11 to be replaced as ...