A contrarian signal is flashing for the S&P 500 near 6,477. Smart Money Confidence (blue line) is climbing to 0.6 while Dumb Money Confidence (red line) drops to 0.4. This split occurs amid Extreme Fear, with the CNN Fear & Greed Index at 18, despite broader bearish technicals and geopolitical volatility.» Smart money confidence is growing while dumb money confidence fal...

 One Vengeance for All.  Runaway occupiers: As the US flees Iraq like a thief in the night, a twenty-three-year occupation is over. Iraq is finally free. May God’s vengeance for the children of Gaza, the victims of Epstein Island, and the Minab school rest in Iran’s mighty hands.

Beginning on April 1 (Wed) (Trading Day 1), the US stock market historically follows two distinct paths. Over the recent 21-year period (solid lines in the chart below), April has been nearly perfect, with gains steadily building from the first trading day to the last and only the occasional and minor blip along the way. April generally finishes positive across major indices.&nb...

“If Trump hits Iran’s infrastructure, it will no longer be an eye for an eye, but an eye for the head, hand, and foot. America will be paralyzed.” Mohsen Rezaee, a former senior commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and now a member of Iran’s Expediency Council, warned that any Trump-led strikes on Iranian infrastructure would trigger asymmetric retaliation a...

The S&P 500 cycle composite of the dominant 339, 185, 124, and 79-day cycles forecasts a reversal by late March. This move is expected to manifest as a "dead cat bounce," peaking near 6,500 in late May before a projected decline into October.  Bill Sarubbi notes that post-OPEX weeks in March are traditionally bearish, projecting a low for the S&P 500 and...