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S&P 500 Dump Money Confidence (red line) has risen above 70%, signaling extreme optimism historically linked to consolidations or pullbacks. Meanwhile, the CNN Fear & Greed Index sits at 67 (Greed), and Smart Money Confidence (blue line) stays perfectly neutral at 50% ahead of this week's major news and earnings. This is not a bearish c...

Once the Nazis were done, quite a few people started scratching their heads. Obviously one thing to baffle any sane observer was the sheer enormity of their crimes, accomplished, moreover, with frenetic, really start-up'ish drive and ambition in a mere twelve years: World War? Check. Genocides? Check. Bad hairstyle? Check.  Alex Karp wants us to know he has big pla...

Immigration to the European Union has surged to historically high levels, reaching a total of 64.2 million foreign-born residents in 2025. This represents a dramatic climb from the 40 million recorded in 2010 and a year-over-year increase of 2.1 million people. To put this in perspective, approximately 1 in 7 people residing in the European Union was born in a country other than...

In their conversation, Lena Petrova (IR, MBA, CPA, and political economy analyst) and commodities trader, former hedge fund manager, and geopolitical analyst Alex Krainer examine the dimensions of what he terms the "First Global Total War," driven by major energy and trade disruptions and broader global market stress stemming from the US war against Iran. » This is not...

Plotting all 35 midterm-election years for the DJIA since 1886, the spread of outcomes is enormous: In difficult midterm years, the DJIA has fallen by as much as 25% (1966), while in stronger years it has gained up to 45%. The average of ±2% is likely the most realistic expectation right now, given the current environment. Chart 1: DJIA 2026 versus the Top Three Midterm Cor...