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Follow The Poll Bludger: The Poll Bludger - Analysis and discussion of elections and opinion polls in Australia

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Message History

The resurgent One Nation gets its first chance to flex its new muscles at a by-election for an historically safe Labor state seat in Western Australia.

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New polls find the One Nation disruption at full force in New South Wales, but largely only a problem for the Liberals in the ACT.

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Roy Morgan maintains the mixed picture of recent polling for One Nation, reversing their strong gain of a week ago.

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Radical boundary changes in Tasmania, minor ones in South Australia and the ACT, and limited political implications all round.

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Newspoll bucks recent trends in finding One Nation as strong as ever, with Labor failing to sustain a gain from last time.

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