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The Joseph Carlson Show

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Message History

00:00 Introduction

01:00 A History Of Picking Stocks

06:30 Uber

11:50 Meta

18:02 Netflix

20:15 Semianalysis Gemini Has Lost

23:48 Fail Of The Week: Keith Rabois


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00:00 Intro

02:30 AWS Has Changed The Market

11:26 FICO Earnings

14:24 Uber & DoorDash

19:00 Duolingo

22:00 Texas Roadhouse

23:00 Tom Lee 2027 Prediction


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Google, Microsoft, and Amazon have followed a pattern of their CAPEX having initial skepticism eventually followed by acceptance. This will happen with Meta as well. In each case there were 'reasons' that the stock deserved to be down. With Google it was that ChatGPT would disrupt search, Microsoft it was Claude would disrupt the software bundle and the backlog was too concen...


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00:00 Introduction

03:01 PayPal Stock

08:33 S&P Global Earnings

12:36 Visa and Mastercard

17:16 FICO and Robinhood

19:38 Meta and Microsoft Earnings

27:05 The Three Layers of AI

37:05 ASML and China’s Chip Machines

39:11 AI, Hiring, and the Future of Jobs

41:52 Fail Of The Week: Paramount’s Warner Bros. Merger Problem


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00:00 Introduction

02:00 ASML Earnings Reaction

10:00 Netflix Earnings Tomorrow

11:50 JP Morgan & The Banks

12:20 Buffett Reveals He Bought Google

Fail Of The Week: Kalshi & New York City


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