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The Iran war is roiling financial markets, but the impact on long‑term expected returns will likely be limited. Even in the worst‑case scenario, the methodology outlined below for developing performance estimates is relatively immune to short‑term events.
As a general rule, expected returns rise (fall) as markets decline (rally), all else equal. Higher mark...
Foreign securities and US real estate investment trusts led a broad-based rally for the major asset classes in February, based on a set of ETF proxies. US stocks, however, didn’t participate in last month’s gains.
Foreign developed shares ex-US (VEA) led the field, posting a strong 6.1% gain in February–the ETF’s best monthly advance in more than two years. Yea...
All the major asset classes are posting year-to-date gains, as of Friday’s close. But a lot can happen over one weekend.
The US-Israel military strike on Iran is ongoing and appears set to continue for days, possibl...
CEO confidence for the economic outlook has improved, but the Treasury market is still pricing in rate cuts.
The Conference Board reports that co...