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The market premium for the 10-year Treasury yield continues to trade at a narrow gap over a “fair value” estimate, based on the average estimate for three models run by CapitalSpectator.com.
The updated estimate indicates th...
US consumer inflation’s annual pace slowed more than expected in November, the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics said. Headline CPI dipped to a 2.7% increase vs. the year-ago level while core CPI fell to 2.6%, a four-year low. Some analysts raise...
Echoing the strong run in foreign equities in 2025, bond markets ex-US are also having a good year. Using a set of ETFs to track the major international buckets of fixed-income securities shows across-the-board outperformance over a popular US benchmark through Wednesday’s close (Dec. 17).
The leading offshore performing sector this year: government bonds i...
Business inflation expectations in December remained steady at a 2.2% pace for the year-ahead outlook, according to the Atlanta Fed’s latest survey data. The current estimate is relatively middling for the range of results reported in 2025.
The delayed payrolls reports finally arrived, but the news is mixed, at best. The Labor Department said that sharp swings in hiring unfolded in October and November. Looking through the monthly volatility suggests that hiring is slowing, slipping to a pace that’s raises a...
