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Investor sentiment on the outlook for another rate cut has been volatile lately, but comments from Federal Reserve officials in recent days has turned the tide back in favor of the doves.
New York Fed President John Williams last week href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/11/21/new-york-fed-president-williams-sees-room-for-further-adjustment-to-rate...
Fed Governor Christopher Waller on Monday said he favored cutting interest rates at the Fed’s Dec. 10 policy meeting. Since the last Fed meeting, “most of the private sector and anecdotal data that we’ve gotten is that nothing has really changed. The labor market is soft. It’s continuing to weaken,” he said. ...
The delayed third-quarter GDP report will, presumably, be published eventually, but it’s ancient history at this point. The focus has turned to an array of data from various sources for October and November. A consensus view is still evolving, but the main takeaway at the moment is that recession risk still appears low so far in Q4.
On a GDP level, the tail...
US business activity accelerated for a second successive month in November, according to the US Composite PMI Output Index, a survey-based GDP proxy. “The upturn looks encouragingly broad-based for now, with output rising across both manufacturing and the vast services economy,” href="https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/7da582e151d7418990...
