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A newly extended U.S.–Iran ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz are fueling cautious speculation that the conflict may be entering its final phase. The news will likely give financial markets a boost in the near term, assuming the agreement that the U.S. and Iran announced on Sunday holds.
Oil prices are already reflecting optimism. The U.S. ...
Maintaining a bullish outlook on markets has become an emotionally challenging affair in recent history, but the crowd continues to look through the constant flow of troubling news and concludes that it’s still reasonable to stay the course. Informed or not, that sentiment has been a winning strategy so far, and remains on display in several sets of ETF pairs that track key m...
The Iran conflict and rising inflation risk have continued to widen the market premium for the 10‑year yield relative to a fair‑value estimate. As
The Middle East crisis appears no closer to resolution, underscored by Tuesday’s US military strikes on Iran. If recent history is a guide, the effects on the U.S. economy will be minimal, as today’s update on nowcasts for second‑quarter ...