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Tahoe Weather Blog

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Website title: Tahoe Weather Blog

Publisher:  paul.grady
Message frequency:  1.27 / week

Message History

As La Nina continues to deepen, so does our dry weather. Generally, we only write columns to talk about future weather pattern changes. However, I noticed a number of forecasters were predicting a return to winter weather next weekend. We are not seeing that. In fact as the Polar Vortex digs deep into the central part of the country, our weather will be above seasonal average...


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These systems broke about as bad as possible. Starting with rain at 10,000 feet most of New Years Eve and even New Years day. That put a dent in the snow pack of Mt. Rose. We have several other systems waiting to come in. The snow levels will vary with these systems as well.

Saturday January 3rd


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We just got the latest ECMWF model run and it looks good. As usual, not all news is good news. The storms are increasing in intensity and frequency, that is the good news. However, they will start out very warm, with snow levels around 8,500-9,000 feet ... or maybe even higher. Here is what we are seeing:

New Years Day 2026


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This past storm cycle was an underachiever. Usually, when the models go big, the storms cannot produce. In this case we tallied around 5 feet, which was slightly less than what the models were predicting.

Of course the models learn the error of their ways. We have a couple storms that will setup very similar to this last pattern; colliding air masses from the North and ...


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Pretty much everybody has noticed that we went from stable high pressure to very unstable low pressure with 40 mph straight line winds and gusts exceeding 80 in the leeward foothills. Sitting just offshore is the first of several large and very wet storms poised to bury the Tahoe area.

The first storm is literally just moving in now (16:00 - Sunday):


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