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Site title: Spencer Li - The Thinking Trader | Strategy, Decision-Science

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December 2025 marked the conclusion of a tumultuous yet resilient year for global financial markets, characterized by a complex interplay of monetary easing, geopolitical escalation, and the persistent dominance of the artificial intelligence investment theme. The month served as a microcosm of the broader 2025 narrative: equities grinded higher despite structural economic crack...

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Macroeconomic Indicators and Central Bank Policy The U.S. Federal Reserve entered November on pause but firmly tilted toward easing. With key data releases disrupted by a federal funding shutdown (the longest in history at 43 days), Fed officials increasingly signaled a readiness to cut rates. By late month, markets were pricing in roughly 85 percent […]

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Global Stock Market Trends U.S. equity markets bucked the usual September weakness, posting strong gains and even notching new records. The S&P 500 surged around 3.5% for the month, the Nasdaq Composite jumped roughly 5.6%, and the small-cap Russell 2000 climbed nearly 3%, making this the best September for stocks since 2010. All three major […]

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Global Stock Market Trends August 2025 extended the equity rally, with U.S. stocks posting a fourth consecutive monthly gain. The S&P 500 rose roughly 2.2% for the month, reaching new all-time highs by late August. The Nasdaq Composite also climbed (about 3%), powered by continued enthusiasm for tech and AI-focused names. Notably, the market’s leadership […]

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