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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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From 2024:

Here’s my suggestion for next time: After all the events are over and the medals have been given out, do a series of events with the medal winner of sport A, competing against the medal winner of sport B, doing spor...


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Pilgrim Beart informs us that is Cambridge Philosophical Society is organizing a meeting on Energy and Information to mark the 10th anniversary of David MacKay’s untimely death. Beart asked me to share any tribute to MacKay, and I sent him this:

In ...


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I go onto Twitter and Bluesky every morning to post the link to the new day’s blog post. When I go on Bluesky, I know what to expect: it shows me a list of my recent posts. Twitter does something different: it gives me some general-interest feed, some mix of home improvement videos, celebrities, politics, and whatever has recently liked by Elon Musk. The above post ca...


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1. Why do journalists interview people? Why do people agreed to be interviewed by journalists?

The implicit individual contract is that each side gets something: the journalist gets material, some contribution to an interesting story, and the person interviewed gets to tell his or her story.

But that’s not the whole thing. Journ...


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