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Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

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John Nielsen-Gammon points to a recent article, “Ideological bias in the production of research findings,” by George J. Borjas and Nate Breznau, which states:

Our study exploits an opportunity to observe 158 researchers working independently in 71 teams during a...


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Andrea Bronzini points to this article and writes:

I’m working on experimentation tooling and wrote a brief note about a failure mode I keep seeing: “winning” A/B tests often lose uplift after rollout.

My claim is...


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Appendix B of our new Bayesian Workflow book is called “How to get the most out of Bayesian Data Analysis”:

Our thinking about Bayesian statistics is summarized in the books Bayesian Data Analysis, third edition (BDA3), by Ge...


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This was from 2022. Yann LeCun:

People being scared to death of technological progress is nothing new either.

There is a very long list of retrospectiv...


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Mary Radcliffe, Elliott Morris, Cooper Burton, and Fiftyplusone report:

On Tuesday, Oct. 20, FiftyPlusOne reached out to Wedgewood Polls, a self-professed polling firm, with a request for comment on an investigation we had conducted into their ...


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