Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science

Three weeks ago we modeled vote choice with candidates C = {Left, Right, Other} as a multinomial logit:

P[voter i chooses candidate c from C] = exp(f(X_ic)) / sum_c’ exp(f(X_ic...

I believe, as applied statisticians, we need to get our hands dirty and immerse ourselves in the applications we try to address. This post is mostly about medical ethics and the famous “first, do no harm” principle. It is also an attempt to understand how statistics can serve medical practice. The motivation for this comes from a recent debate in the statistics literature abo...

I just joined, and I’m one of 37 people on the board, a mix of people from academia, industry, and government.

If you google *EPA science advisory board*, you get sent to

In planning my new course I read through Daniel Bell’s 1973 book, The Coming of Post-Industrial Society. It doesn’t really have ...

Weakliem writes:

In 2016, Donald Trump lost the popular vote to a weak candidate, although the mysterious workings of the Electoral College gave him the presidency. During his first term, he never reached a 50% approval rating. In the 2020...