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In our new version of SimpleVisor, we added a liquidity gauge. The algorithm behind the gauge uses credit spreads, overnight borrowing conditions, bank reserves, the Fed balance sheet, and dollar and yield trends and volatility. The model provides a quick, easy way to gauge liquidity and determine whether it's tightening or loosening. Because all assets …

Understanding how bonds work, from the types and risks to how yields get set, shows why owning them is about far more than the daily price change. Every few years, the financial media decides that bonds are "broken." The headline usually follows a stretch where bond prices fell alongside stocks, and the conclusion is always …

FIFA promises to disclose its executives’ compensation. But its under-fire president received tax benefits that were never made public, according to documents and interviews. A typically dry meeting of the three-person committee that determines the pay of FIFA’s most senior officials was winding down in Bangkok one day in May 2024 when one member brought up what he considered a ...

(Business travel will disrupt the commentary for the next ten days.  It will resume November 18.  Good luck, and thank you for your patience.) The dollar rose against all the G10 currencies last week except for the Swiss franc. The gains were concentrated against the dollar-bloc currencies and the Scandis. Neither sterling nor the Australian dollar …

The midterm playbook still favors stocks over the next year, but the 200-day average at 7,325 decides whether that playbook starts now or after a deeper flush. 🏛️ Market Brief - The Post-Midterm Rally Lasted One Day On Monday, we drew the line in the sand. As we wrote in Liquidity Weighed On Gold Trumping Real …