Radar Podcast

Bitcoin surged this week on a record wave of short liquidations, and gold broke out alongside it, but equities never confirmed the move. We explain why this looks like a short squeeze rather than the start of a real trend, and why 4.75% on the 10 year is the level that decides whether the debasement trade holds. We also get into stagflation, the state of the consumer, and War...

We break down why the S&P is at record highs while the AI names lag, and why leadership is rotating from semis into software. We cover the in line CPI print, collapsing hike odds, and what Warsh is doing to the curve. We are still risk off, and we get into the consumer, the CapEx boom, and where AI actually makes money.Learn More: www.market-radar.comEpisode 227

The S&P printed an all-time high on an Iran headline that's fallen through every other time it's shown up, semis are still 15% off their highs, and until our system flips we think this is a fake out. We lay out why the AI CapEx trade already peaked, and why the buyback-to-revenue switch that funded the entire move only gets flipped once. Then we get into real yields back ...

We sold all of our tech on July 14 and we have not bought it back. The AI CapEx trade that carried the Nasdaq is fractured, Leopold got liquidated, and the vibes that took SanDisk to 2,400 are not healing in a straight line. We break down why this is not a dip buying environment, why rates are the most underrated risk on the board, and what has to align before we put leverage...

We went full risk off on the 14th, and the worst case scenario we've been warning about is now playing out: inflation impulses re-accelerating on the Hormuz escalation, growth impulses dead in the water, and a 63% probability of shifting from stagflation into deflation. We break down why the CapEx receivers like Micron are the market's only support beam, why consumer discreti...