Quantus Insights

South Carolina Republicans are preparing to choose a Senate nominee under circumstances few could have imagined ...

Florida’s Republican primary for governor is, at least for now, less a contest than a coronation.

Byron Do...

The fundamentals of the 2026 midterm election point toward the Democrats. The polling points in the same direction. But the polls, at least for now, are pointing there with less force.

That distinction matters.

A structural model of the electorate, built from party identification, partisan loyalty and the expected movement of independent voters, places the Democra...

For most of the last century, midterm elections have followed a familiar law of American politics: The party holding the White House loses ground in the House.

The size of the defeat varies. The destination, however, has become surprisingly predictable.

Across the 20 midterm elections from 1938 through 2022 in which the president’s party lost House seats, that par...

For several years, the American consumer has been waiting for the fever to break. In June, it finally may have.