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Website title: Politicalbetting.com – The web's premier resource for political betting.

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Although Welsh people tend to expect a Plaid Cymru government to focus on independence, just 22% of Welsh people say they would vote "Yes" in an independence referendumYes: 22% (no change from 12-19 March)No: 55% (+1)yougov.com/en-gb/articl…


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Angela Rayner weighs leadership challenge after local elections https://t.co/Z4ejyjrpBj

— Times Politics (@timespolitics) April 29, 2026<...

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On a recent thread a very valid question was asked. These voters who the polls and betting markets suggest will vote Reform and Green next week: “what do these people actually want?”

A great question, and having spent much of my life...


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Introduction

This is the final article in a series analysing the oft-cited NBER paper, which...


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