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Notayesmanseconomics's Blog

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What is going on with the UK unemployment rate?
This morning has brought something rather eye-catching from the UK Office for National Statistics. The UK unemployment rate for people aged 16 years and over was estimated at 4.9% in December 2025 to February 2026. This is down in the …

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The Bank of England will be cheered by reports of higher UK house prices
This morning the research student presenting the morning meeting at the Bank of England will have arrived with a skip in the step and a smile on their face. While higher mortgage rates and increased competition among sellers has dampened …

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How has the conflict in the Middle East affected our energy costs and security?
The conflict in the Middle East has had quite an impact on the discussion around both our energy costs and out energy supply. Much of it has been bad and one element of that is still true with the Strait …

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Did the UK economy and GDP really surge in February or is it another seasonal adjustment problem
This morning has brought some rather good news for the UK economy. It has come from our official statisticians at the Office for National Statistics. Monthly real GDP is estimated to have grown by 0.5% in February 2026, following a …

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China has developed quite an export machine whilst Europe has been asleep
Over the past few days the media seems to have been catching up with a theme we have been running for some time.The Chinese export push. We can start with this at the weekend from the BBC economics editor Faisal …

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