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The ECB is suffering from another case of really bad timing
The better news from the Middle East and the consequent fall in the price of oil ( Brent Crude is a further US $4 dollar this morning) will have the ECB with rather itchy shirt collars this morning. That is … Con...

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UK GDP disappoints and hints at a possible contraction in the second quarter
Our focus remains on the UK this morning as the latest economic growth figures have been released by the Office for National Statistics. Monthly GDP contracted by 0.1% in April 2026, following growths of 0.3% in March 2026 and 0.4% …

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What will the Bank of England do about UK interest-rates?
The week so far has been one where pressure has built up on the Bank of England. On Tuesday I looked at the interest-rate increase by Bank Indonesia which was its second in this phase. Today I am expecting an … Cont...

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China has outperformed us on inflation but still cannot boost consumption
We can continue our economic tour of the Pacific region with a look at China and something we have not got used to. In May 2026 , the national producer price index (PPI) for industrial products rose 3.9% year-on-year and 0.5% month-on-month . The producer price index …

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Japan planning to restart full QE trumps the interest-rate rise from Indonesia
Yesterday I looked at South Korea and one of the factors in play was expectations of interest-rate rises and maybe even an emergency one. As it turns out it is Indonesia that has decided to pull the trigger on the …

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