NextBigFuture

Can a company outgrow Earth’s economy? The claim is not crazy on long timescales. Saudi Aramco already approximates a whole nation’s economy, tech megacaps now dwarf the entire stock market of 15 years ago, and history shows step-changes in growth (0.3% agrarian → 2-3% industrial). North America’s economy became larger than the economy of Europe. ...

Shor’s algorithm for factoring RSA-2048 (and related problems like elliptic-curve discrete logs) has seen dramatic reductions in estimated resources over the past 18 months. Theoretically breaking RSA-2048 would still require multi-day runtimes and billions of non-Clifford logical operations (primarily Toffoli gates) under realistic error rates (~0.1%) and cycle times. This rema...

Reports indicate Tesla suppliers were issued specific Optimus Gen 3 parts procurement guidelines, requiring them to increase production capacity to 1,000 units per week by September of this year and increase to 2,000 to 2,500 units per week by end of year. They are stating Elon reviewed and approved the latest version of Optimus during ...

SpaceX have filed for a 100,000 satellite Gen3 NGSO system. The satellites will be 2000-2500 kg, area 300 to 400 sq m. Orbits 320-480 km at various inclinations. The FCC application says the Gen3 constellation will deliver extremely low-latency, multi-gigabit symmetrical throughput. And the sheer number of satellites will ensure multiple satellites are always visible ...

Financial Firm Raymond James Analyst Brian Gesuale gave a SpaceX price target of $800. He told investors that industrialized access to orbit and AI are driving the most significant infrastructure convergence since the advent of the Internet with SpaceX building the foundational platform for the next generation of industrial capacity across transportation, communications, compute...