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Message History

00:00 - Birthday Tiramisu vs. Strawberry Shortcake
01:15 - Defense Tech Valuations: Private Surrogates vs. Defense Primes
03:11 - Neo-Cloud Fatigue and the Limits of AI Model Breakthroughs
05:18 - Economic Policy: Accelerated Depreciation & Pipeline Infrastructure
06:13 - Monetizing Shut-In Natural Gas via Mobile Compute
08:44 - Animal Spirits, Ca...


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00:00 - Market Recap: $108 Oil, 5% Treasury Yields, and Fed Rate Expectations
03:20 - Policy Errors: Why the Fed Should Not Have Cut Rates Last Year
04:14 - Podcasting with Jordi Visser: Sentiment Shifts in the AI Market
05:13 - The Dario Amodei Safety Letter: Strategic Alignment & CapEx Realities
07:39 - Pre-IPO Talent Reticiencies & Managing for ...


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In this FSD episode, titled Five Billion Is an Inhale for the Pentagon, the news that the Pentagon is weighing a five billion dollar credit facility for an unknown AI infrastructure company gets read for what it actually signals. The sum is trivial at Pentagon scale, so the story is not the money. It is that AI infrastructure has become strategic enough for the government to ...


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In this FSD episode, titled AGI Just Passed the CAPTCHA Test, Ram Ahluwalia takes apart the claim that AGI has arrived. He reads Jensen Huang's declaration as positioning rather than analysis, given Nvidia's incentive to pat its largest customers on the back and to move before AMD does. The test the industry actually cleared, he says, was the CAPTCHA test. AGI is a far higher...


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In this FSD episode, titled AI Would Have Rejected Elon's Business Plan, Ram makes the case that AI is structurally incapable of giving you an edge. Multiply enough matrices and the output lands in the center of the distribution, which means AI returns the consensus view by construction. The best opportunities are non-consensus. Elon Musk is the proof: reusable rockets, drive...


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