TrendsTalk

TT 9.14.26 Audio by ITR Economics

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Michael Feuz guest hosts to break down the latest August inflation numbers, shifting rate hike expectations, and what the Fed may do next. With businesses facing uncertainty around borrowing costs, consumer strength, and inflation pressure from AI CapEx, energy prices, tariffs, and money supply growth, Michael explains why a rate...

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Connor Lokar examines why expectations for a September Federal Reserve rate hike shifted following Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech. For business leaders navigating uncertain borrowing costs and weakness in housing and agriculture, Connor breaks down the Fed’s 2 percent inflation target, elevated PCE inflation, and the dif...

2026 Inflation Outlook: Rising Input Costs Squeeze Margins | TrendsTalk by ITR Economics

This week on Fed Watch, ITR Economist and Speaker Connor Lokar examines what cooler PCE inflation could mean for the Federal Reserve’s September interest rate decision. He also explores July’s sharp home sales decline and why elevated Treasury yields and mortgage rates continue to squeeze rate-sensitive businesses. Which inflation measure should Fed policymakers trust when deci...