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Last week Statistics Canada estimated that our economy lost 18,000 jobs in April, well below the consensus forecast that 10,000 new jobs would be added.

Our economy has now shed jobs in three of the first four months, for a cumulative loss of 112,000 over that period.

The effects of ongoing trade uncertainty and surging energy costs have made businesses understa...


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The Bank of Canada (BoC) will almost certainly hold its policy rate steady when it meets this week.

It doesn’t yet know whether the global energy-price spike will be sustained for long enough to stoke inflation pressure across our broader economy. But there is not much evidence of an inflation pass through from higher energy prices thus far.

Last week Statistics...


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The Strait of Hormuz re-opened briefly last Friday. That gave us an indication of what our bond yields and mortgage rates might look like if the US/Iran war ends any time soon. After the ceasefire was announced, global bond yields immediately dropped, and energy prices eased.

In Canada, gasoline, diesel and jet fuel prices were also helped by our federal government’s s...


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