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#1 Options Strategies Center

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Message History

Adjusting SLV
Stocks are trading mixed so far today as new headlines continue to come out of Iran. Over the next week or two, patience may be required as the divergence we have been discussing continues to develop. The overall strategy remains the same. If we see meaningful strength into late April or early May, the plan […]

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Market Update
I’m not convinced this relief rally has much staying power. Since the March 30 lows, the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite Index have climbed roughly 8% and 10%. That is a solid move, but we are quickly approaching the late April to early May window that has been on the radar for some time. […]

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Market Update
Yesterday we reviewed the broader market and identified the stocks that are currently leading the move higher. Many of these appear to be approaching a potential Wave 5 top. We can see a similar setup in the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM)… Looking back to April of last year, the larger wave structure […]

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Market Update
Volatility is starting to increase in both directions, which lines up with the outlook I laid out for 2026. The key windows were January, then April and May, and now we are right in the middle of it. I did not know ahead of time that there would be conflict with Iran or stress building […]

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Closing HSY for a 7-Day 17% Return
Hershey (HSY) is moving higher today, but the advance is coming on relatively light volume. As mentioned in earlier updates, I’m not fully convinced this rally has strong conviction. It may have a bit more upside in the short term, but tomorrow sets up as a higher probability window for a pullback. We were able […]

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