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In 1940, the United States placed Japan in a difficult position. Japan was a country with very limited resources. It had to import oil, steel and other goods from other Asian countries and, to some extent, from the United States. To secure access to these resources, it had tried, years earlier, to build an empire. The U.S. used its economic power to block the sale of oil from...


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The US-Israeli war with Iran has no end in sight as strikes on both sides continue. With Iran’s capitulation failing to materialize and the IRGC’s true strength revealed, the conflict is in a state of evolution.

On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss shifting US war aims, the rising price of oil as the...


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The US-Israeli war with Iran has no end in sight as strikes on both sides continue. With Iran’s capitulation failing to materialize and the IRGC’s true strength revealed, the conflict is in a state of evolution.

On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss shifting US war aims, the rising price of oil as the...


Read full story

Oil trade. A Pakistani-flagged oil tanker was able to pass through the Strait of Hormuz and is now heading toward Pakistan, Bloomberg reported. Ship-tracking data appears to show that the vessel, controlled by Pakistan National Shipping Corp., safely sailed through the waterway on Sunday, despite Iran’s repeated claims to have shut the strait to traffic. […]

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Modern military conflicts follow a certain operational logic, which goes something like this: The less centralized an enemy’s command and control is, the less likely the enemy is to be able to coordinate a coherent response. This is why, in precision warfare, early disruption of leadership, communications and decision-making is so important to a campaign. […]

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