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EUR/USD Analysis on March 4, 2026

The wave pattern on the 4-hour chart for EUR/USD has taken on a less desirable form, but it still raises no major questions. There is still no talk of canceling the upward trend segment that began in January last year; only the internal wave structure is occasionally adjusted. In my view, the pair has completed the formation of global wave 4 (lower chart). If this assu...


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GBP/USD. Smart Money. The Pound Awaits Support from the U.S. Labor Market

The GBP/USD pair continues to decline within a broader bullish trend. The only valid pattern at the moment remains bearish imbalance 16, but bulls were short by just 6–7 points from touching it last week and forming a signal. As a result, traders had no reason to open short positions, even though the pound has since fallen by 250 points. It is also important to remember that ...


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EUR/USD. Smart Money. The Market Has Stabilized, and the Euro Is Under Conflicting Pressures

During the first two days of the week, the EUR/USD pair was declining, but on Wednesday dollar buying eased somewhat. We have already seen the market's initial reaction to developments in the Middle East, and it was hardly encouraging. The bullish picture for EUR/USD has either been seriously damaged or significantly altered. We witnessed a clear confrontation between the tec...


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Dollar unwilling to negotiate

War is the dollar's weapon, but peace is the euro's weapon. It's no surprise that a New York Times report that Iranian officials had offered to discuss terms for ending the fighting triggered the fastest EUR/USD rally in a month. However, Mizuho International warns that this report should be taken with a pinch of salt — similar rumours circulated almost on the first day of th...


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Trump issues statements on GENIUS and CLARITY

Yesterday, Donald Trump made a blunt statement, highlighting a critical situation around the GENIUS Act. According to him, this key legislation — intended to reform market structure and strengthen the US position in the global crypto industry — is being sabotaged by banks. The president stressed that such actions are unacceptable, saying, "We will not let this happen. The US ...


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