E-piphany

I read recently – I can’t find where – that stock/bond correlations in the US are the highest (most positive) they have been in decades. This of course is bad news for investors who commonly allocate to both stocks and bonds with the expectation that adding bonds will reduce the risk of a portfolio not only because they have a lower natural volatility than do stocks but also ...

By now readers will be well aware of USDi, the cryptocurrency whose price represents how many of today’s dollars you would need to buy a December 2024 dollar. (The answer at the time of this writing, according to https://usdicoin.com, is $1.044755). That construction means that USDi is i...

Here we are again, on the monthly CPI roller-coaster. Consensus coming into the day was +0.60% m/m headline, +0.33% core, pushing the y/y numbers to 3.7% and 2.7% respectively. The headline print will obviously be flattered by energy prices again, but the core number may seem surprising since we have been running between 0.196% (last month) and 0.313% (last July) for the last...