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Had a lot of fun chatting again with my twin brother Dylan Patel.

We went through lab economics over the next few years - the shift from inference to training as RSI draws near; and how Anthropic and OpenAI are on track to control most of the world’s usable FLOPs within the next few years (because they can monetize compute better and thus outbid everyone).

And the...


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Had Ryan Greenblatt on to discuss/debate recursive self-improvement.

This might be the most important question in the world right now – whether within a year or so of achieving human-level intelligence, you slingshot towards having 10s of billions of superintelligences, each of which is dramatically more competent than human experts across all fields.

I’ve histori...


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Read the essay here.



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This is a video recording of a post I wrote last week. If you want to read the original you can check it out here.

Thanks to Mercury for sponsoring this video. ...


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