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Website title: CXO Advisory - Stock Market Research and Investing Strategies

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Wisdom of a Few? [PREMIUM]
Does the empirical accuracy of prediction markets derive from crowd wisdom or an informed few? In their April 2026 paper entitled “Prediction Market Accuracy: Crowd Wisdom or Informed Minority?”, Roberto Cram, Yunhan Guo, Theis Jensen and Howard Kung investigate why prediction markets exhibit accuracy. Specifically, they compare the distribution of actual trade directions with a...

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Managing AI Researchers [PREMIUM]
Can artificial intelligence (AI) agents based on a large language model (LLM) carry most of the load in strategic asset allocation? In their April 2026 paper entitled “The Self-Driving Portfolio: Agentic Architecture for Institutional Asset Management”, Andrew Ang, Nazym Azimbayev and Andrey Kim present a 6-step strategic asset allocation system in which: A macro... Keep...

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Should Investors Care About "the Way Things Are Going”? [PREMIUM]
Are broad measures of public sociopolitical sentiment relevant to investors? Do they predict stock returns as indicators of exuberance and fear? To investigate, we relate S&P 500 Index return and 12-month trailing S&P 500 price-operating earnings ratio (P/E) to the percentage of respondents saying “yes” to the recurring Gallup polling question: “In general, are you.........

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Weekly Summary of Research Findings: 5/4/26 – 5/8/26 [PREMIUM]
Below is a weekly summary of our research findings for 5/4/26 through 5/8/26. These summaries give you a quick snapshot of our content the past week so that you can quickly decide what’s relevant to your investing needs. Subscribers: To receive these weekly digests via email, click here to sign up for our mailing list.......

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Differences in AI and Human Financial Research [PREMIUM]
When assigned to perform the same empirical financial research, do the findings of human researchers and large language models (LLM) as a kind of artificial intelligence (AI) differ? If so, why? In their March 2026 paper entitled “AI ‘Errors'”, Wenqian Huang, Albert Menkveld and Shihao Yu compare outcomes for 158 AI model iterations (agents) to......

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