An ever-expanding web of feedback loops is converging to generate system-wide risks—collectively known as the polycrisis. The cascading effects of interconnected crises represent the collision of four deeply intertwined systems: ecology, economics, politics, and social dynamics. Actions in one domain reverberate across the others, attenuating or accelerating crises while weak...

Earth’s life-support systems are failing.  Humanity is surpassing critical environmental thresholds and increasing the risk of triggering irreversible climate tipping points. It is hard to overstate the perilousness of our trajectory. While we have seen incremental local gains on a wide range of climate, biodiversity, and environmental fronts, the good news is overshadow...

2025 delivered a series of meaningful environmental and climate achievements, spanning wildlife recoveries, declining deforestation in key regions, rapid renewable energy expansion, and transformative advances in sustainability-focused technologies. At the same time, local climate initiatives and Indigenous leadership strengthened community-driven conservation and stewardship...

I’m excited to announce that Change Oracle is now on Substack! This new space will feature exclusive added content — deeper analysis, behind-the-scenes insights, and commentary on the polycrisis that you won’t find on the main site. Each week, we’ll unpack environmental collapse, geopolitical instability, economic disruption, social inequity, and technological upheaval. ...

The 2025 UN climate conference failed to produce a meaningful outcome. Ten years after the historic Paris Climate Agreement at COP21, 194 countries assembled for COP30 in Belém, Brazil. The final agreement, called the Global Mutirão decision, or the Belém Package, included 2 new mechanisms (trade and a just transition), but failed to make progress […]

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