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Cents and Sensibility: the Inflation Guy Podcast

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This CPI report is potentially unusual and extra-valuable since there is a chance there won't be a CPI released next month. It's a good thing, then, that the current data was a little softer-than-expected since that helps to lock in Fed eases (although the Fed doesn't really care about the exact level of inflation any more as long as it isn't clearly headed high...

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The Inflation Guy was sorely tempted to title this podcast, "Two Beautiful Women," because he's not above being clickbaity. But he also cannot resist a pun, and that idea won. This episode after all is about AI, and one of the 'leakages' that people don't tend to think about but that is evident in the world at large when you look at how people are using AI. The Inflation Guy ...

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But not 'Incompetence'! We didn't use the word 'Incompetence' in the title of the episode!

We have to admit, it was tempting. But of all of the examples of incompetence that spring to mind from the last thirty-five years the Inflation Guy has been watching markets and politics and economists, the current examples just don't rank in the top tier. Now, ...

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In his role as middle-school cross country coach, the Inflation Guy is fond of reminding runners that they should "get comfortable with being uncomfortable." The same, it seems, is true of inflation! From the lens of median inflation, it has leveled out around 3.6% and there are no real signs and no real math that bring it lots lower any time soon. But more interesting perhap...

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For the first time in a while, core CPI exceeded expectations. For the first time in a while, core services and core goods both accelerated on a year-over-year basis. But what is not at all new is that median inflation is settling in the high-3% range, roughly 3.65% y/y with today's report. Get used to it! And get used to the Federal Reserve easing anyway...

 

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