Follow Arms Control Wonk, filter it, and define how you want to receive the news (via Email, RSS, Telegram, WhatsApp etc.) https://follow.it/arms-control-wonk Wed, 06 Dec 2023 16:35:38 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc937DnmH-JPY-AX50KYzL9tX North Korea finally got a reconnaissance satellite into orbit, after several failed prior attempts! While it is a little rough around the edges, every program has to start somewhere. Jeffrey and Aaron talk through the implications of the DPRK’s reconnaissance satellite, the relationship of the DPRK missile and space programs, and the importance of high …]]> Tue, 28 Nov 2023 04:05:24 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc937DnmH-JPY-AX50KYzL9tX https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93m7pEYH_8qrc4HQhe4ZUzd Take a listen to the latest season of Jeffrey Lewis’s podcast, The Reason We’re All Still Here Far too often, governments behave like toddlers. They’re fickle. They don’t like to share. And good luck getting them to pay attention to any problem that isn’t directly in front of them. They like to push each other to …]]> Sat, 14 Oct 2023 23:22:41 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93m7pEYH_8qrc4HQhe4ZUzd https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc91REMHaoxZ35wC0qH-r7xlT Looks like everyone is preparing for a party.  Between Russia’s potential un-signing of a nuclear test treaty, threats to test “if the United States does,” and refurbishments at Novaya Zemlya, things aren’t looking great for the longevity of nuclear test ban norms. China and the U.S. have been modernizing too, though the U.S. has offered …]]> Thu, 12 Oct 2023 01:59:25 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc91REMHaoxZ35wC0qH-r7xlT https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93D9hj_LRrEAwpx5_w21kha This is the written summary accompanying the satellite images we provided to CNN about the worrisome levels of activity we see at Russian, Chinese and US nuclear test sites.]]> Sun, 24 Sep 2023 05:08:35 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93D9hj_LRrEAwpx5_w21kha https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92MFIR368oheRhSCv31NykC Errors in Postol’s Analysis of the Hwasong-18 Daniel Allen, Madeline Berzak, Michael Duitsman, Decker Eveleth, John Ford, Sam Lair, Jeffrey Lewis, Tricia White Key points: 🚀🚀🚀 Introduction Ted Postol’s analysis of the Hwasong-18 is marred by significant factual inaccuracies. Many of these inaccuracies would have been caught by an analyst carefully looking at the totality …]]> Mon, 21 Aug 2023 03:40:59 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92MFIR368oheRhSCv31NykC https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92R18B08acNVMlTP0vptTFR Sam Lair joins the podcast to talk about Kim Jong Un’s recent whirlwind tour of the North Korean Defense Industrial Base with Jeffrey and Scott. If you’re into missiles, geolocation, and machine tools (and, if you listen to this podcast, you probably are), you’re going to want to tune in. Sam and Jeffrey have been …]]> Thu, 17 Aug 2023 21:21:09 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92R18B08acNVMlTP0vptTFR https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93Zv5ZVFEg96HOFESPuQWsX Jeffrey is joined by the illustrious Kelsey Atherton to discuss Christopher Nolan’s film Oppenheimer, as well as the history and legacy of the titular man himself. Kelsey and Jeffrey dive into the choice to focus on Oppenheimer’s own security legacy and bypass the direct and indirect horrors affected upon the Congolese miners, New Mexicans, and Japanese …]]> Tue, 15 Aug 2023 16:10:45 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93Zv5ZVFEg96HOFESPuQWsX https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93Zv5ZVFEg96O9WSSr4-0sP This is a guest post by Kelsey Atherton. Kelsey D. Atherton is a military technology journalist based in Albuquerque, New Mexico. His work has appeared in Popular Science, The New York Times, Slate, and elsewhere. You can find his work at Wars of Future Past. This post is a companion piece to the Kelsey and Jeffrey’s excellent Arms Control …]]> Tue, 15 Aug 2023 16:03:54 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93Zv5ZVFEg96O9WSSr4-0sP https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92vnFDjYZYZIs4HQhe4ZUzd Jeffrey is back from Hiroshima, where he participated in a Track 2 nuclear dialogue. The outlook for near-term arms control is still grim. Jeffrey and Aaron unpack the G7 statements on disarmament that the Japanese representatives wanted to re-affirm, the tacit condemnation of Russian and Chinese contained within, and the global theater around narrative control …]]> Sat, 05 Aug 2023 16:49:21 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92vnFDjYZYZIs4HQhe4ZUzd https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc914UxhA0vg__abel3Iu4GjH Twitter’s Anniversary Notification has reminded me that I put together a small satellite imagery management project, SinpoSatBot, six years ago to win an argument on Twitter. It seems like a good time to do a postmortem on whether it was successful (it was!), whether it was useful (it was not!), and whether I won the …]]> Fri, 21 Jul 2023 03:31:22 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc914UxhA0vg__abel3Iu4GjH https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93kwkPxK3So9C3FFO_xyF25 Germany has a gap that needs to be filled in the face of Russian threats. But this time it isn’t Fulda, it is….the exoatmospheric layer of ballistic missile defenses? Jeffrey and Aaron try to understand Germany’s decision to buy the very fancy Israeli/American Arrow-3 exoatmospheric BMD system, in absense of a specific Russian missile system …]]> Wed, 19 Jul 2023 00:55:09 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93kwkPxK3So9C3FFO_xyF25 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc926GlgYBU55qq7VFky8BpXO Jeffrey is back from Japan and North Korea’s satellite-turned-submarine is back from the bottom of the ocean! North Korea’s failed Chollima-1 space launcher and its payload, the Malligyong-1, failed to reach space on May 30. Jeffrey and Aaron talk about the Japanese response to the launch, the North Korean reponse to the failure, and whether or not …]]> Thu, 06 Jul 2023 23:36:14 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc926GlgYBU55qq7VFky8BpXO https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc90e2dxnSudGa68qfTAM-Smm Ankit Panda joins Jeffrey by the every so fancy pool at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore, where they talk about competing speeches and messaging, the views on US-China competition from Southeast Asia, and about how Jeffrey didn’t make any new friends in the PLA this year. Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!]]> Mon, 12 Jun 2023 23:10:33 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc90e2dxnSudGa68qfTAM-Smm https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93pKREJW4sxdoIAmcWJ0TmB Ukraine is getting the SCALP-EG/Storm Shadow cruise missile, and that’s raising a whole lot of questions about MTCR guidelines  Jeffrey and Aaron talk about the history of the Missile Technology Control Regime, what it was meant to originally address, and the whole host of problems associated with figuring out what a destabilizing cruise missile really …]]> Sun, 21 May 2023 21:29:58 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc93pKREJW4sxdoIAmcWJ0TmB https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc90-dJNUTgGJzXHnycKeoCpf President Yoon of South Korea recently visited the United States to talk nukes and Don McLean with President Biden. Jeffrey and Aaron talk through what the Declaration actually covers, how much was material and how much was fluff, and the moonwalking capabilities of the D5 SLBM.  Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!]]> Sat, 06 May 2023 17:10:05 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc90-dJNUTgGJzXHnycKeoCpf https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc91GjKD7B5jlP-9WSSr4-0sP North Korea's mobile target ship gets modified for use as a floating missile target with the addition of radar reflectors.]]> Mon, 24 Apr 2023 17:03:11 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc91GjKD7B5jlP-9WSSr4-0sP https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92s8iyDYG6_GFe5jCclomp- FINALLY.  After almost a decade of hinting and teasing and parading fake empty canisters, North Korea has debuted its long-awated solid propellant ICBM. And the team have some questions about where the construction and testing sites were…   Jeffrey, Scott, and Dave descend upon the CNS DC offices for a rare in-person podcast to commemorate …]]> Sat, 15 Apr 2023 21:44:49 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc92s8iyDYG6_GFe5jCclomp- https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc933uc5Sc1JBx95ZnUTwRGH7 There is no excerpt because this is a protected post.]]> Thu, 13 Apr 2023 23:44:10 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc933uc5Sc1JBx95ZnUTwRGH7 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc939XF1O00-wSVLv-B9hV9S2 The IAEA is doing a great job with the s**t we’re handing them. A very jetlagged Jeffrey joins Aaron to talk about the IAEA and the very positive role that Director General Rafael Grossi has played in trying to hold together the nuclear situation with Iran. JCPOA-holdover cameras, discontinuity in footage, and a bunch of …]]> Tue, 21 Mar 2023 22:47:16 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc939XF1O00-wSVLv-B9hV9S2 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc90a74bqq-d3KEGT5aWO9DEx New START has been in peril for years. The first episode of the pod was about the INF Treaty being in danger, and here we are, 8 years later, with almost no arms control treaties left. Maybe it is time to rename the pod Arms Race Wonk, because the next few years are going to …]]> Thu, 09 Mar 2023 03:04:41 +0200 https://api.follow.it/track-rss-story-click/v3/7QCfJmIhc90a74bqq-d3KEGT5aWO9DEx