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What if all failures occurred truly randomly?

The math would be easier.

The exponential distribution would be the only time to failure distribution. We wouldn’t need Weibull or other complex multi-parameter models. Knowing the failure rate for an hour would be all we would need to know, over any time frame.

Sample size and test planning would be simpler. Just ru...


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Instead Of Reactive Responses Guest Post by Daniel Burrus(first posted on CERM ® RISK INSIGHTS – reposted here with permission)

In years past, many businesses have succeeded with an agile, reactive approach to business where they respond to climate, competition, and social circumstances in an “after the fact” way. This focus was predominantly on responding to disru...


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Develop an Enterprise Asset Risk Control Strategy for Enterprise Resource Wellness

The 6-Step ‘Plant Wellness Way EAM System-of-Reliability’ methodology is more that DMAIC and more than using ISO 55001. It does not seek acceptable failure rates; its objective is total failure elimination from your operation.

In this strategy, your enterprise wo...


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In Unit 10, we take a deep dive into two real-world case studies that highlight the transformative power of Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM). These case studies, drawn from my own experience, demonstrate how RCM was implemented in two different contexts using a facilitated working group approach. The first case study details an RCM program I started with the US Navy on ...


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The Problem

Confirmation bias in RCA rarely shows up as rushing. It shows up as certainty.

The most experienced people in the room recognize a failure pattern and unconsciously lock onto a familiar explanation. “It’s always that coupling.” “Same bearing issue again.” “We’ve seen this a hundred times.” The investigation might still look rigorous, but it quietly na...


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